Congratulations to Chan Jau Tung
Wednesday, April 20, 2011
JunYang's Fan Posted At 7:50 PM
Dear Jau Tung, you just equalled the record your senior Ngo Wei Keong set the other day... 2001? Oh 10 years ago. Not bad considering the Wei Keong has 2 more months to prepare in June.
Finale for national is the A girls Final which is a very tight 3 horses race between DHS, HCI and RJC. Let look at what scores the represent shooters shot for last year national school.
DHS
Grace Jiang - 381
Kai Yun - 387
Jing Ting - 391
Total: 1159
HCI
Jianing - DNS (2009 National: 382, 2008 National 386?... was behind Kenin could be same score)
Li Tyn - 388
Rubin - 387
Total: 1159 (Jianing score was taken to be average of 386+382 = 384)
RJC
Yafei - 396
Ke Nin - DNS (2009 National: 380, 2008 National: 387)
Goh Jia Yi - 393
Total: 1172 (Ke Nin score is taken as average of 380+387 run down = 384)
From the analysis RJC clearly have an edge, more than 13 points to be exact. Due to Yafei and Jia Yi which I really can't see them shooting below 390, in fact I think their combine score will be close to 790.
With the two RJ shooters having a combine score of 790 as the assumption we examine the other 2 schools. First HCI, Koh (not to be confuse with A boy record holder) and Rubin hit 392 in 2009 but it will be difficult for them to break their own A girls record since it is set by my loves Zanzan and Miss Tay, but I guess my 2 darlings will want their juniors to break their record so an average of 388 will do the trick which will sums up to 1164. Which is a bump up of 5 points form the total above although it is still 2 points short from the trio B div record of 1166. For DHS, I really have no fucking idea. Since they are not affiliated to my dear Zanzan and Miss Tay my bet is they are not going shoot higher than HCI. How dear the shooters are to Elephant is always a good estimate, since Zan and Xiao Dai got 3 national team gold.
With that said 1164 - 790 = 374. Which is not exactly a difficult task for Ke Nin to pull off. Although expect analysis in Swiss pointed out that Yafei might be distracted by the shooter behind her as she (the shooter behind her) is well know for "(damn big) and distracting actions" elephant really don't think she will be that all affected. Even if HCI managed to pull a 390 average off, Ke Nin just have to shoot 21 tens and 19 nines for RJC to win gold. Elephant don't think it is likely that they will pull off three 390s so a lot will depend on whether RJC screw up or not.
The only hope is to send url of cjyfc to Jia Yi and Yafei then make sure they read it and only then maybe they will not shoot as well tomorrow. Since 1164 is a very optimistic estimate compared to their total which was 1159. From the situation, unless there is another set of 3 shooters who can remotely come close to 1172 total of RJC, for example more than 1160, like 1161. RJC will run off as conformable winner on Thursday.
Labels: Shooting National School
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